“The surge in Iraq did not “win” anything. It bought time. It allowed us to kill some more bad guys and feel better about ourselves. But in the end, shackled to a corrupt, sectarian government in Baghdad and hobbled by our fellow Americans’ unwillingness to commit to a fight lasting decades, the surge just forestalled today’s stalemate.”
“Funds have poured into private equity and other so-called alternative investments. They have assembled portfolios that are way too complex, way too dependent on supposedly sophisticated (and high fee) investment vehicles. They have chased what is fashionable, they have overly diversified, and they have abandoned what should be their true calling: patient long-term investing in American corporations.”
“Under such circumstances, therefore, it is well to remember that we are in the middle of the greatest central bank fueled inflation in recorded history, and that this insidious inflation has been channeled into financial assets owing to the arrival of peak debt everywhere around the world.
Stated differently, households are saturated with debt and cannot borrow any more to spend on goods and services that have not been earned with prior production. So the massive tide of liquidity generated by the central banks never leaves the financial markets; it just cycles there, fueling the carry trades and every manner of speculation that modern technology-enabled bankers can concoct.”
“The internet has disrupted media in much the same way it has manufacturing of smartphones or the IT business, says Ben Thompson — value has moved to the edges, to specialized creators and to discovery platforms, leaving media companies in the middle.
So what does the future look like for those media companies in the middle of the “smiling curve?” Thompson doesn’t say, but it probably isn’t going to involve a lot of smiling — instead, it presumably involves trying to squeeze less and less revenue out of a market where they are rapidly losing control, and trying to form relationships with platforms like Facebook without losing even more. How that will ultimately play out is anyone’s guess at this point.”